Cloud9 will take on Evil Geniuses in the first matchup in Group D of the ongoing ESL Pro League Season 16. C9 is a clear favorite here and, according to betting experts, their chances of winning this match are approximately 81%, which is quite good. The coefficient, respectively, is 1.15. In this case, betting on Cloud9 to win will be quite boring and unprofitable, and therefore I suggest that you familiarize yourself with the statistics and game form of the participants in order to choose an alternative market on which you can bet.
Cloud9 Game Uniform
Cloud9 are currently on the 11th line in the table of the best CS:GO rosters according to the HLTV portal. A bad sign for Hobbit and his teammates is that the team before this tournament took part in matches on the professional stage only in July. Then the team played in Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2022, where they performed rather poorly. Cloud9 first won the fight against the Outsiders, after which they were defeated in the matches with Astralis and Team Liquid.
Cloud9 perform best on Overpass, where they won in 2 games. Therefore, now their win rate there is 100% as in the case of Ancient, only they have played the latter only 1 time so far. On Mirage, the roster played three times and the win rate there is 66.7%. On other maps, Cloud9 has big problems, and on Vertigo, the team couldn't win at all. Nuke team doesn't play at all.
History of recent Cloud9 meetings
IEM Cologne 2022
Cloud9 0-2 Team Liquid
Cloud9 0-2 Astralis
Cloud9 2-0 Outsiders
Best Cloud9 Maps
Overpass (2 cards) - 100%
Ancient (1 card) - 100%
Mirage (3 cards) - 66.7%
Dust 2 (5 cards) - 40%
Inferno (3 cards) - 33.3%
Vertigo (1 card) - 0%
Evil Geniuses Game Uniform
Automatic and the company are ranked 35th in the HLTV rankings. Unlike Cloud9, the roster has already taken part in matches in September. The team played in the second open qualifier for Intel Extreme Masters Road to Rio 2022 North America. In all four confrontations, the team won. And only in the fight against Limitless did the team have some problems, as a result of which they lost in 17 rounds. In all other matches, they won with a score of 16-13, 2-0 and 16-6.
Before that, the team completely failed at BLAST Premier Fall Groups 2022, where they lost in matches against FaZe Clan, BIG and NiP and took 10-12th place there. However, as we can see, over time the team played much better and is already in better shape. From this, one can make assumptions that they will try to impose a fight on their opponents from Cloud9.
The team is also showing good results on Overpass and Ancient, Cloud9's favorite maps, which gives a signal that the meeting participants can fight on three maps.
On Inferno, Mirage and Nuke Evil Geniuses have a win rate of 50%, which is technically better than Cloud9's average, but in reality it may not be so easy.
Evil Geniuses match history
IEM Road to Rio 2022 North America Open Qualifier 2
Evil Geniuses 16-6 ATK
Evil Geniuses 2-0 BHOP
Evil Geniuses 16-13 Team One
Evil Geniuses 19-17 Limitless
BLAST Premier Fall Groups 2022
Evil Geniuses 1-2 NiP
Evil Geniuses 6-16 BIG
Evil Geniuses 8-16 FaZe Clan
Best Evil Geniuses cards
Overpass (1 card) - 100%
Ancient (1 card) - 100%
Inferno (4 cards) - 50%
Mirage (2 cards) - 50%
Nuke (2 cards) - 50%
Conclusion
In the upcoming match, Cloud9 doesn't look like a super clear favorite for me. The reason for this was their game form and the lack of games played in September and August. Evil Geniuses, in turn, performed in August, and in September they won all the confrontations, which indicates their good shape. Yes, Cloud9 is a completely different team, but EG can take one map. In this regard, I believe that it is worth choosing Handicap +1.5 cards in favor of EG. Such a market is rewarded quite generously. For him, bookmakers give a coefficient of 2.35, which is not bad at all. You can also consider Total over 2.5 cards at odds of 2.48 and Correct score 2-1 in favor of Cloud9 at odds of 3.75, but this is an extra risk that should be avoided. Evil Genuses can in theory surprise and win 2-0. However, it's best to bet on Handicap +1.5 cards on EG.
Final bet: Handicap +1.5 cards in favor of Evil Geniuses with odds of 2.35
