Matchförutsägelse: Victorum - ATK | Counter-Strike (CS2)
ESL Challenger League Season 42: North AmericaIn the ongoing ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America, in one of the matches that will take place on September 1, there will be a confrontation between Victorium and ATK. The latter, without a doubt, are the clear favorite for this meeting, and betting on victory with a coefficient of 1.08 is boring and not very profitable. I propose to break down this meeting in order to understand which alternative market is worth betting on in order to avoid high risk and get more money.
Victorium play uniform
Victorium are currently ranked 251 in the list of the best CS:GO rosters in the world according to HLTV. To put it mildly, this is more than a good indicator of the overall level of the game, however, we will not limit ourselves to it and will talk about the success of the performances and the map pool, which will confirm my words.
The roster was assembled recently and the team managed to play in such a roster only in 6 matches, 4 of which took place in June and July, and only 2 of them were played in August and those were unsuccessful. Of all 6 confrontations, Victorium won only once.
The map pool of eSportsmen is also not impressive. The best performing map was Ancient, where the roster performed once and won. The team has never performed at Vertigo. The worst stats on Nuke and Overpass are 5 matches played and 1 win, and as a result, a win rate of 20%, as well as 2 Overpass played and 0 wins. On Mirage and Dust 2, the team played once and lost in both cases, but on Inferno they were more fortunate. Of the 2 played times, the team won 1 time and has a 50% win rate there.
History of last meetings of Victorium
ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America
- Victoria 1-2 Vendetta
IEM Road to Rio 2022 North America Open Qualifier
- Victorium 3-16 Complexity Gaming
Best Victory Cards
- Ancient (1 card) - 100%
- Inferno (2 cards) - 50%
- Nuke (5 cards) - 20%
- Overpass (2 cards) - 0%
- Mirage (1 card) - 0%
- Dust 2 (1 card) - 0%
ATK Game Uniform
ATK look very good against the background of players from Victorium both in terms of composition and in the form of their mappool. The only thing that confuses me is that Motm and his teammates took part in only one match in August, but ATK won there in the fight against timbermen.
Speaking about the approach to the selection of cards, one can notice very positive statistics and dynamics. The team shows incredible results on Overpass and Vertigo, and Inferno can be called the quintessence of ATK's performance.
On Inferno, the win rate is 88.9% with 9 matches played there. On Overpass and Vertigo, the team played 7 times and 4 times and has a juicy win rate of 85.7% and 75%. Even on Dust 2, Mirage and Ancient, where ATK's stats are the worst, the win rate is around 50%, which is pretty good.
ATK match history
ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America
- ATK 2-1 timbermen
Best ATK cards
- Inferno (9 cards) - 88.9%
- Overpass (7 cards) - 85.7%
- Vertigo (4 cards) - 75%
- Dust 2 (4 cards) - 50%
- Mirage (4 cards) - 50%
- Ancient (2 cards) - 50%
Conclusion
We can see that ATK is two heads higher than his next opponents on all fronts. Their line-up is stronger, their team is rated as more successful not only by the community, but also by HLTV representatives, their map pool is impressive, and Victorium has a rather weak win rate on all battlefields.
All this says one thing - ATK will undoubtedly win. And they will do it most likely with a score of 2-0. Once a year, as they say, and the stick shoots, but I do not think that this is the same case.
The bookmakers give 1.08 to win ATK, being sure that the probability of their victory is 87%. The chances of winning with a score of 2-0 are estimated at 65%, which is quite good, considering the statistics that I showed. In fact, it seems to me that the probability of such an event is even higher, and the coefficient of 1.44 is quite generous for such a case.
Super save players may prefer a regular ATK win at 1.08 odds and I understand them as we are dealing with a Tier-2-3 scene rather than a solid Tier-2 and even less so Tier-1. However, I prefer to choose ATK Win with -1.5 cards handicap in this case.
Final bet: Handicap -1.5 cards in favor of ATK
Bookmakers & Statistics
Nu tror majoriteten av bookmakerföretagen på ATK seger. Oddsen på dem är lika med 1.022. Enligt bookmakers data är Victorum outsidern och oddsen på deras segerbelopp 10.522.
Hur presterade deltagarna de senaste matcherna
Senaste matcherna | Victorum | ATK |
5 matcher (vinster) | 1 | 3 |
10 matcher (vinster) | 1 | 7 |
Det är också vettigt att komma ihåg statistiken för matcherna mellan lagen. Deltagarna i striden före mötet spelade 0 matcher med varandra. I dessa strider fick Victorum 0 segrar medan ATK lyckades ta 0 matcher.