Förutsägelse om match CS2 Aurora - The MongolZ

The quarterfinal of BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 will feature a clash between Aurora Gaming and The MongolZ, scheduled for March 27 at 16:00 EET. Both teams come into this match aiming to secure a spot in the semifinals, and their current level makes this one of the most intriguing matchups of the playoff stage. In this prediction, we will analyze the teams’ form, recent results, map pool, head-to-head history, and evaluate each side’s chances to determine the most likely outcome.

Bookmakers Offers For The Match Aurora vs The MongolZ

In this matchup, bookmakers give a slight edge to The MongolZ with odds of 1.82, while Aurora Gaming are priced at 1.97. This suggests a very close contest, with a marginal advantage for the Mongolian side.

Aurora vs The MongolZ Line-Ups

The MongolZ signed cobrazera two months ago — a young Mongolian player who has already played 43 maps with a 1.03 rating. While not outstanding yet, he is gradually adapting to the team’s playstyle and gaining valuable Tier-1 experience.

Aurora Gaming also have a stable roster, which positively impacts their teamplay. Their last roster change happened around two months ago, when soulfly joined the lineup. Since then, Aurora have maintained consistency, preserving structure and coordination.

Aurora vs The MongolZ Form & Performance

Aurora Gaming have shown solid consistency over the past few months. Over the last three months, they played 63 maps and won 35 of them, highlighting their stability at the Tier-1 level. Their run at ESL Pro League Season 23 Finals is particularly notable, as they reached the grand final before falling to Natus Vincere. In their last five matches, Aurora secured three wins against FURIA, FaZe, and Astralis, proving their ability to compete with top teams, although two losses to NAVI indicate some limitations against elite opposition.

The MongolZ appear slightly less consistent statistically, with 22 wins out of 43 maps over the same period. However, their form is clearly improving. They finished 5–8th at ESL Pro League Season 23 Finals and have once again reached the playoffs of the current event, signaling positive progression. In their last five matches, they defeated Spirit, Liquid, and MOUZ, but fell short against Vitality and NAVI — teams at the very top level.

Map Pool For Match Aurora vs The MongolZ

Aurora Gaming are expected to start the veto by banning Ancient, their most common permaban. From there, they will likely prioritize one of their strongest maps — Dust2 or Anubis, where they hold strong win rates (71% and 75% respectively). Considering The MongolZ’s relative weakness on Dust2, it stands out as Aurora’s most probable pick.

The MongolZ will almost certainly remove Anubis, as it is their standard permaban. For their pick, they could lean towards Nuke (67% win rate) or Mirage (62%), targeting Aurora’s weaker areas. Nuke appears to be the most logical choice, given their consistency on the map.

In the second phase of bans, Aurora are likely to remove Mirage to avoid giving their opponents comfort, while The MongolZ may ban Inferno — another strong map for Aurora. This would leave Overpass as the decider, a relatively neutral battleground that could ultimately determine the outcome of the series.

Aurora vs The MongolZ Head-To-Head

Over the past six months, the teams have faced each other twice. The first meeting took place at the Thunderpick World Championship (offline, BO3), where The MongolZ secured a 2-1 victory in a competitive series. Their second encounter came at ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 (studio/online format, BO3), where The MongolZ delivered a more convincing 2-0 win. So far, the head-to-head record favors the Mongolian side.

Best Pick For Match Aurora vs The MongolZ

This matchup looks very close, as reflected by the betting odds, but a slight edge goes to The MongolZ. They have already defeated Aurora twice in the past six months, giving them not only a positive head-to-head record but also a psychological advantage in this matchup.

It is also important to highlight The MongolZ’s current form. Wins over Spirit, Liquid, and MOUZ in recent matches demonstrate their ability to challenge strong opponents. Additionally, their playoff appearance at this event indicates improved consistency compared to previous performances.

The veto process could also play a key role. The MongolZ have a clear structure in their map choices and are comfortable on Nuke and Mirage. In a BO3 series, their experience against high-level opponents may prove decisive in crucial moments. If the Mongolian side secures their map pick and remains competitive on Aurora’s choice, they will have strong chances to close out the series.

Prediction: The MongolZ to win 2-1.