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We continue to watch the action at IEM Katowice 2025 as the battle for 1,000,000 in prize money and the champion's cup moves to a new level.
The group stage matches are getting ready to start at IEM Katowice 2025. One of the central matches of the stage will be the confrontation between NaVi and FURIA.
We are trying to figure out how the FURIA – NaVi match will end.
Let's go.
NaVi Form
We open the analysis of the match NaVi – FURIA with an analysis of the game form of NaVi. In this match, “born to win” is the favorite with a coefficient of victory in the region of 1.4.
At the start of the season, while still in the previous lineup, they held a series of good tournaments. In almost every one of them they took high places.
Started with TOP-6 at BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2023. Then TOP-3 at IEM Katowice 2023 and a similar result at ESL Pro League Season 17.
NaVi easily won BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR A and qualified for the major in Paris. Before the only major of the season, Natus Vincere took the TOP-4 at IEM Masters Rio 2023.
The Paris tournament turned out to be a failure for NaVi. TOP-11 can hardly be called a decent result for a team of Natus Vincere status.
- NaVi roster: w0nderful, b1t, Aleksib, jL, iM.
Before the start of IEM Cologne, NaVi held a global reshuffle by translating the roster into English. Instead of the departed electroNic, Perfecto and npl, the team was joined by jL from Apeks, iM from GamerLegion and Aleksib, who previously played for Ninjas in Pyjamas.
With the new roster, NaVi debuted at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023. “Born to Win” were able to earn a place in the fall finals, finishing in the TOP-4-6.
At IEM Cologne 2023 itself, Natus Vincere played two matches. First, they lost to MOUZ with a score of 0-2, and then beat OG in a bo3. As a result of the top championship, NaVi reached the TOP-8, which can be called a good result for the then updated roster.
Then there were a number of performances at major events with quite good results. NaVi entered the TOP-8 at Gamers8 and took the TOP-2 at ESL Pro Legue Season 18.
The key tournament of the season for the “yellow-blacks” can be called IEM Sydney 2023. There, NaVi played for the first time in a long time without their main headliner S1mple, whose place was temporarily taken by coach B1ad3. Andrey tried, but NaVi were unable to jump above the TOP-12.
After S1mple left the active roster, NaVi started playing with w0nderful. He debuted for the “yellow-blacks” at BLAST Premier: World Final 2023. Natus Vincere played him very well, reaching the TOP-4. In the match for reaching the grand final, they lost to the future champions of the tournament and the best team in the world, Vitality.
They started 2024 on a high note, finishing top at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European Qualifier A. However, their performance then dropped a bit and NaVi took the TOP-12 at ESL Pro League Season 19 and IEM Dallas 2024, as well as the TOP-2 at BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2024.
Esports World Cup 2024 NaVi started with a confident victory over FURIA with a score of 2-0. Having reached the playoffs, the “born to win” found themselves against FaZe Clan in the first round. NaVi were again stronger than FaZe, but this time they won with a score of 2-0. Then there was a rather difficult match against MOUZ, where NaVi lost on the first map with a score of 1-13, but then pulled themselves together and advanced to the grand final. In the final match, they played against G2 Esports, where they won with a score of 2-1, thereby winning the second prestigious tournament in a year.
At BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2024, NaVi started with a confident victory over BIG. But against Liquid, the “born to win” did not fare well, losing in a dramatic situation without defuse kits on map 3. In the return match with BIG, they were again stronger, confidently closing out the German club with a score of 2-0. However, they were unable to move beyond the TOP-6 at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2024.
At ESL Pro League Season 20, NAVI won Group A, easily beating Lynn Vision, NiP, and Eternal Fire. NaVi started the ESL Pro League Season 20 playoffs with a win over their archrival, Team Spirit, and a confident 2-0 win. Then came a hard-fought 2-1 win over G2 Esports and a tough 3-2 win over Eternal Fire in the EPL S20 finals.
At IEM Rio 2024, NaVi came through Group A in second place, losing to Furia. In the playoffs, they beat Vp (2-0) and Heroic (2-1) one after another. And in the grand final, NaVi beat MOUZ (3-1), thus becoming the champion of a major tournament for the fourth time in a season.
However, NaVi failed to become the best everywhere and everywhere. For example, at BLAST Premier: World Final 2024, where “born to win” did not make it to the playoffs.
At PW Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR A, NaVi won two matches, beating Fnatic and Sinners, but then lost to MOUZ in the match for the Major. However, they managed to reach the Elimination Stage at Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 on their second try, beating sAw 2-0.
Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: Elimination Stage Natus Vincere started with a victory over Liquid, and then lost to MIBR and Spirit. Then they knocked GamerLegion out of the tournament, but failed to cope with Heroic, leaving the world championship one step away from the playoffs.
BLAST Bounty Season 1 started with a victory over Imperial Female, and then beat Astralis. In the playoffs they played against paiN and it was a very difficult match for the Ukrainian team, but still - they won. And then - Spirit, a 1-2 loss and TOP-4 in the end.
Mappool NaVi
NaVi's best map for 3 months is Inferno. The team played there 5 times with a win rate of 60 percent.
On Mirage, Ancient. Nuker, Overpass and Anubis NaVi has 50% win rate. On Ancient and Nuke the team played 4 matches each, on the others – 2.
They don't play Vertigo.
FURIA Form
We continue the analysis of the FURIA – NaVi match with an analysis of FURIA's game form. In this match, they play as underdogs with a win odds of around 3.
Furia attended over 10 tournaments during the year, but their success was mediocre. Their most notable victory was TOP-1 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: American RMR, which gave them the opportunity to make their mark at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023.
Furia ended the only major of the season on a minor note. They did not allow G2 Esports to rise above the TOP-16. The Brazilians' misadventures did not end there.
Before the start of the ESL Pro League, the team failed the following events: IEM Masters Dallas 2023 (TOP-12), Thunderpick World Championship 2023 (TOP-16), and also Gamers8 2023 (TOP-16).
- FURIA composition: yuurih, skullz, KSCERATO, FalleN, chelo.
Just before the start of ESL Pro League Season 18, FURIA played at Pinnacle Cup V, where they managed to reach the TOP-2. This was the most breakthrough result since the American RMR.
At ESL Pro League Season 18, FURIA played in Basket A. They got into the lower bracket after the first round, and from there, after the second round, they went to the last chance bracket. There, they came back, defeating Grayhound and GamerLegion, thereby getting their slot in the playoffs.
However, they didn't manage to play enough in the playoffs. In the first round, FURIA ran into MOUZ, who eventually became the champions of the prestigious event. As you may have guessed, FURIA lost with a score of 0-2.
The Brazilians then played in several more events. This was BLAST Premier: Fall American Showdown, with FURIA finishing in the TOP-4 after losing to Complexity, and also BGS Esports 2023, with a victory there.
FURIA entered the Roobet Cup 2023 playoffs with a lot of confidence. They won Group A, finishing their two matches with victories.
In the debut match of the Roobet Cup 2023 playoffs, FURIA played against Apeks. The Europeans put up a fight, twice taking 11 rounds per map, but it was not enough: as a result, Furia won with a score of 2-0.
FURIA then met Vp in the semi-finals, where they finished their journey through Roobet Cup 2023. After the TOP-4 there, they repeated the result at PARI, Please.
In their debut match at Elisa Masters Espoo 2023, FURIA started with a win over Complexity. Next came the playoff match against Apeks, where the Brazilians were unable to build on their success and lost 0-2.
In the final match of the group stage, FURIA played against MOUZ. Being an outsider, the Brazilians were able to displace one of the main contenders for victory in the Elisa Masters Espoo and simultaneously reach the playoffs of the championship. As a result, FURIA showed themselves very well and took the championship at the tournament, winning the grand final against Apeks (3-1).
Next came BB Dacha, where FURIA took TOP-6, TOP-24 at IEM Katowice 2024, TOP-6 at RES Western European Masters: Spring 2024 and then – qualifiers for top tournaments. And if Furia was unlucky at the IEM Dallas qualifiers, they lost in the final to 9z, then at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: American RMR the team managed to win and advance to PGL CS2 Copenhagen Major from the American region.
At the tournament itself, FURIA are not looking so-so. FalleN and company lost to their former teammate coldzera on Legacy, as well as Lynn Vision, and have only managed to win against KOI, who have already left the championship.
In the next match at PGL CS 2 Copenhagen Major 2024, FURIA beat ENCE. And they beat them with a score of 2-0, without much of a chance. In the match for the Elimination Stage, sAw moved, but then they couldn’t cope with the control: as a result of the Elimination Stage, Furia played with a score of 2-3 and left the world championship.
Before performing at ESL Pro League Season 19, FURIA played at IEM China 2024, where they finished in the TOP-12. In the first round of ESL Pro League Season 19, FURIA opened with a match against Liquid and lost to the Americans with a score of 1-2. Then it was even more interesting: a match against forZe, where FURIA, being the favorite, flew off 0-2, and also lost their pick with a score of 0-13. In the next match, they met BNK and at least won there with class. However, they were unable to reach the TOP-20.
Before performing at EWC 2024, they played in several minor tournaments of the CCT series, where they did not achieve any special results. At the Esports World Cup 2024 itself, they performed quite well, reaching the playoffs and taking a map from MOUZ.
IEM Cologne 2024 FURIA started from the Play-In stage, where they first beat Imperial, but then lost to Liquid in the match for reaching the group stage. However, they managed to get through on the second try after defeating Heroic. In the first match of the group stage, they lost to Vitality, and later left the championship in the Top 16, losing to Team Liquid in the decisive match for themselves.
FURIA started ESL Pro League Season 20 with a victory over Falcons (2-1), but then lost to Vitality (0-2). Then they went on a roll and, having lost to Spirit, left the championship at the TOP-16 stage.
Before playing at PW Shanghai Major 2024: Americas RMR, FURIA played at IEM Rio 2024, where they reached the TOP-4. They managed to get to the main tournament – PW: Shanghai Major 2024 after defeating 9Z in the decisive match of the 2-2 basket.
At the PW Opening Stage 2024, FURIA started with a loss to GamerLegion. And then - 3 wins (against Imperial, Wildcard and BIG) and an exit to the Elimination Stage. Furia started at the Elimination Stage with an unexpected victory over Spirit, but then lost to Vitality and Liquid. Then, not without problems, they won against paiN, but finished their performance at the championship having lost to the future TOP-2 from FaZe.
IEM Katowice 2025 started with the Play-In stage, where they beat Imperial Female and Wildcard.
Mappool FURIA
FURIA's best map remains Vertigo, where the Brazilians played 5 times and won 3 maps. Next comes Mirage, with 7 games and 4-3 statistics.
The neutral choice for Furia will be Nuke and Ancient. There the Brazilians have 6 maps and the score is 3-3 on each.
The worst is on Overpass (2-3) and Inferno (1-2).
History of personal meetings FURIA – NaVi
The teams played each other twice in the 2024 season and exchanged pleasantries.
Predicted result of the NaVi vs FURIA match at IEM Katowice 2025
FURIA managed to get through the Play-In stage, but I can't bring myself to call it a confident passage to the group stage, especially considering their bracket consisting of Wildcard and Imperial Female (with a stand-in). However, this is the practice and experience of playing directly on Katowice, which cannot be written off. I think the Brazilians can put up a fight on one of the maps, but there is no point in talking about a victory.
Result: NaVi wins.
#21
BIG
#321
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