In the penultimate match of today's gaming day of WePlay Academy League Season 6, ENCE Academy and Astralis Talent will fight each other for extra points in the group stage. Astralis Talent is the clear favorite here, and according to betting experts, their chances of winning are 60%, which is equivalent to a coefficient of 1.55. This level of profit is already quite good, but is it worth betting on the favorite to win here, or maybe you should pay attention to ENCE Academy or some alternative growls? We'll figure out!
ENCE Academy uniform
ENCE Academy are not in their best shape right now. The team was defeated in the last two confrontations with PROSPECTS and BIG Academy. If in the case of the ENCE academic roster the team still showed some resistance and brought the game to overtime and took 19 rounds, then in the match with BIG Academy the team could not show anything at all and took only 6 rounds from their opponents. It is noteworthy that these fights took place on Mirage and Ancient, two of the best ENCE Academy maps. In Group B, ENCE Academy are in 6th place out of 7 possible, ahead of only MIBR Academy in the table. Consequently, ENCE Academy is one of the main outsiders of its group.
In the case of ENCE Academy, the word “best” does not mean that the roster performs well on these maps. It's just that the statistics show that the roster has a little more victories on these places for battles than on other maps, and the very ratio of victories to defeats there still leaves much to be desired. For example, 10 matches were played on Mirage, and as a result, the win rate is 40%. On Ancient, the team played 4 times and won 25% of the time. Overpass, Nuke and Vertigo are the maps that ENCE Academy is not worth playing at all, as the win rate there is 16.7%, 0% and 0% respectively. If in the case of Nuke and Vertigo the team played once both here and there, then here are the statistics on Overpass that have already been tested by time. ENCE Academy played there 6 times.
History of recent ENCE Academy meetings
WePlay Academy League Season 6
- ENCE Academy 6-16 BIG Academy
- ENCE Academy 19-22 PROSPECTS
- ENCE Academy 16-10 BIG Academy
- ENCE Academy 16-14 Young Ninjas
- ENCE Academy 17-19 Team Spirit Academy
- ENCE Academy 16-9 MIBR Academy
- ENCE Academy 13-16 PROSPECTS
- ENCE Academy 9-16 Young Ninjas
ENCE Academy Map Statistics
- Mirage (10 cards) - 40%
- Ancient (4 cards) - 25%
- Overpass (6 cards) - 16.7%
- Nuke (1 card) - 0%
- Vertigo (1 card) - 0%
Astralis Talent Game Uniform
Astralis Talent looks like the favorite of the meeting here for several reasons. The team is in the world ranking much higher than its opponent. If ENCE Academy is in 151st place, then Astralis Talent, in turn, occupies 92nd place in the list of such teams. In the group stage table, the Danes have 4-3 statistics and are in 5th place, ahead of ENCE Academy and MIBR Academy. The difference between Astralis Talent and ENCE Academy does not end there. The team has a more impressive map pool and the statistics there are more attractive than in the case of ENCE Academy. The Danes were able to beat MIBR Academy, BIG Academy, PROSPECTS and MIBR Academy, but they failed to defeat PROSPECTS, Team Spirit Academy and Young Ninjas.
As for a more detailed examination of the maps in the Astralis Talent map pool, we can notice four maps at once, on which the performance of the Danes is better than that of ENCE Academy on their best map. Astralis Talent perform on Vertigo, Inferno, Ancient and Overpass with 100%, 85.7%, 66.7% and 50% success rates. There were played 3, 7, 3 and 6 times, respectively, which, in principle, in this situation can be considered a more or less objective assessment. But on Nuke and Mirage, the team has not yet won a single victory, but it has also been played there 3 and 2 times, respectively. However, it is better not to play there. Looking ahead, you can immediately be sure that Astralis Talent will not play Mirage, and it is on this map that ENCE Academy can show their maximum.
History of recent meetings Astralis Talent
WePlay Academy League Season 6
- Astralis Talent 16-10 MIBR Academy
- Astralis Talent 16-19 Young Ninjas
- Astralis Talent 19-17 PROSPECTS
- Astralis Talent 16-12 BIG Academy
- Astralis Talent 8-16 Spirit Academy
- Astralis Talent 16-9 MIBR Academy
- Astralis Talent 2-16 PROSPECTS
Astralis Talent Card Statistics
- Vertigo (3 cards) - 100%
- Inferno (7 cards) - 85.7%
- Ancient (3 cards) - 66.7%
- Overpass (6 cards) - 50%
- Nuke (3 cards) - 0%
- Mirage (2 cards) - 0%
Conclusion
Seeing the state of play of the representatives of ENCE Academy, and what kind of map pool they have in their arsenal, one gets the feeling that Astralis Talent can really be called the clear favorite to win here. I even think that the probability of their victory is much higher than 60%, as the bookmakers suggest, and in this case it would be good to bet not only on the victory of the Danes, but also on the handicap in rounds. The team will play on one of the maps that are convenient for them. They show good results on four maps at once and ENCE Academy will be able to ban only 3 of them. In turn, Astralis Talent can remove all cards in general, where their opponents showed tolerable results. This means that all circumstances (except for force majeure) will be on the side of Astralis Talent. Bookmakers offer the market two good handicaps in the form of -2.5 rounds in favor of Astralis Talent with odds of 1.75 and a handicap of -3.5 rounds in favor of Astralis Talent with odds of 2.00. In the first case, ENCE Academy should not take more than 13 rounds, and in the second - more than 12. In any case, I think they won't even get to 11 rounds. For this reason, you can deviate from the classic golden mean rule and allow yourself a little risk and bet on Handicap -3.5 rounds in favor of Astralis Talent at odds of 2.00.
Final bet: Handicap -3.5 rounds in favor of Astralis Talent with odds of 2.00
