In the 0-2 bracket of ESL Pro League Season 22, there is no room for mistakes: NRG and Fluxo will clash in a survival match, where the loser will leave the tournament. Both teams are under pressure, but this encounter will show who can rise to the occasion and who will see their journey end in the very first stage.
How the Bookmakers See It: NRG as Favorites
Bookmakers clearly favor NRG, considering their stable form and successful runs at regional tournaments. Fluxo, on the other hand, come into this match after a string of defeats and disappointing results, which drastically lowers their chances. Analysts see a 2:0 win for NRG as the most likely outcome, while a 2:1 scenario is possible only if Fluxo manage to fight back on their own map pick.
Current Form of NRG: What to Expect
NRG enter ESL Pro League Season 22 in solid shape. Over the past three months, the team has played 52 maps and won 36, boasting a 69% win rate. In August and September, they solidified their dominance in the region with 1st place at ESL Challenger League Season 50 North America Cup 1 and 1st place at Fragadelphia Fragville 2025.
- NRG lineup: nitr0, Jeorge, br0, XotiC, Sonic
In their last five matches, NRG secured wins over NiP, ODDIK, and GamerHunters, while falling to Legacy and GamerLegion. This shows that they can handle teams of their level confidently, but remain inconsistent against stronger European sides.
Current Form of Fluxo: What to Expect
Fluxo show weaker long-term statistics. Over the past three months, the Brazilians played 64 maps, winning 34 (53%). Their last month was especially rough: 5-8th place at Fragadelphia Fragville 2025, 5-8th at CCT Season 3 South America Series 4, and just 13-16th place at ESL Challenger League Season 50 South America Cup 2.
- Fluxo lineup: zevy, arT, kye, decenty, Lucaozy
Recent matches also add little optimism. Out of their last five, Fluxo won only once — against Players — while suffering defeats to FURIA, Astralis, and Bestia twice. This points to a clear slump in form and struggles even against mid-tier opposition.
NRG Map Pool
NRG usually ban Ancient first, as it’s their weakest map. For picks, they most often lean towards Mirage (88% win rate) and Train (75%), since these maps consistently bring them success. Dust2 could also be an option, but Fluxo almost always remove it. In the second ban phase, NRG are expected to eliminate Nuke, denying one of Fluxo’s stronger options.
Fluxo Map Pool
Fluxo consistently start with a Dust2 ban, their weakest map. As for picks, they prefer Ancient (71% win rate) or Nuke (58%), while Inferno is less favorable for them (just 47%). In the second round of bans, Fluxo will likely remove Inferno, as NRG are particularly strong there. The most probable decider for this series is Overpass.
Head-to-Head Matches
In the last six months, NRG and Fluxo have not faced each other. This will be their first official clash.
Survival Match Prediction: NRG vs Fluxo — Who Stays in ESL Pro League S22
The analysis shows that NRG are in much better form. They’ve delivered consistent results at regional events and display confidence on their strongest maps. Fluxo, meanwhile, are going through a slump — weak tournament finishes and losses to even average teams undermine their prospects.
The most likely outcome is a 2:0 or 2:1 victory for NRG. Fluxo may put up a fight on Ancient or Nuke, but in crucial moments the North Americans should hold the advantage.
Prediction: NRG to win 2:0
