In a few hours, the match at ESL Challenger Melbourne 2022 will start with the participation of Wings Up and EG.PA. For experts from bookmakers, Wings Up is the favorite of this meeting with a 62% chance of winning. This is not too much, and therefore I propose to analyze the upcoming match and take a closer look at the game form of both participants in the meeting in order to understand how it would be better to bet in this case.
The odds for a Wings Up triumph are 1.50, while the odds for EG.PA to win are 2.48. So what would be the best place to put it here? Now let's find out!
Wings Up Game Uniform
Wings Up consists of Chinese players who are not well known to a wide audience. B1NGO and his teammates are on the 67th place in the list of the best CS:GO rosters according to HLTV.
A huge advantage, as for me, is given to the Chinese by the fact that they very actively participated in the matches of August and kept them in shape for almost the entire month. They qualified for BLAST Premier, tried to qualify for IEM Road to Rio 2022 China through an open qualifier, after which they managed to qualify for the closed qualifier the second time. At the end of August, Wings Up also played in closed qualifiers for the same IEM Road to Rio 2022, but no success was achieved.
In addition, the team made its debut at ESL Challenger Melbourne 2022. In the fight against OG, the team was defeated, but was close enough to victory. The Chinese lost with a score of 13-16.
In total, they played 11 matches in August and won six of them - a little more than half.
Paying attention to the team's map pool, you can see that the Chinese play on all sorts of maps and have not played, perhaps, only Vertigo. On Dust 2 and Nuke, where they played 8 times, the win rate is 75%, which is very good. Things are a little worse for them on Mirage, where they played 9 and 11 times, respectively. There, the percentage of wins is 66.7% and 53.8%, respectively.
Ancient and Overpass are the weak point of the Chinese. There, for 4 and 5 maps played, respectively, they got only one win each, which equates the win rate to 25% and 20%.
History of recent meetings Wings Up
ESL Challenger Melbourne 2022
IEM Road to Rio 2022 China Closed Qualifier
- Wings Up 0-2 Rare Atom
- Wings Up 2-1 TYLOO
- Wings Up 1-2 Rare Atom
IEM Road to Rio 2022 China Open Qualifier 2
- Wings Up 2-1 CR
- Wings Up 16-7 Atlantiss
IEM Road to Rio 2022 China Open Qualifier 1
- Wings Up 0-2 Rare Atom
- Wings Up 16-3 YK
5E Arena Asia Cup 2022 - BLAST PREMIER Qualifier
- Wings Up 0-2 TYLOO
- Wings Up 16-6 Rare Atom
- Wings Up 16-9 Lord Rabbit
- Wings Up 7-16 Lynn Vision
Best Wings Up cards
- Dust 2 (8 cards) - 75%
- Nuke (8 cards) - 75%
- Mirage (9 cards) - 66.7%
- Inferno (11 cards) - 53.8%
- Ancient (4 cards) - 25%
- Overpass (5 cards) - 20%
EG.PA uniform
EG.PA, who are on the 57th place in the top by HLTV, are currently objectively in a worse gaming shape. There were two reasons for drawing this conclusion. Firstly, before the start of ESL Challenger Melbourne 2022, the team did not take part in any match in August and took a break from the professional scene for a month and a half. Secondly, the team made an extremely unsuccessful debut at the ongoing ESL Challenger Melbourne 2022 - the roster suffered a heavy defeat in the battle with Entropiq with a score of 4-16.
If Wings Up, in turn, had a good fight with OG and took away from the last 13 rounds and were even close to victory, then EG.PA did not show any pressure, could not impose a fight on their opponents and simply “flew off” them willlessly.
I don't see the history of the matches that took place in mid-July in that sense. For a month and a half, as we could see, the game form has changed a lot and in this match the team is likely to face big problems.
EG.PA has a rather small selection of maps. Players performed well only on Mirage and Vertigo. And if in the case of Mirage the team played at least two maps, then on Vertigo they fought only 1 time. Overpass, Dust 2, Inferno are not the choices that EG.PA players should make. The win rate there is 40%, 33.3% and 0% with 5, 3 and 2 maps played respectively.
Match history EG.PA
ESL Challenger Melbourne 2022
Best EG.PA cards
- Mirage (2 cards) - 100%
- Vertigo (1 card) - 100%
- Overpass (5 cards) - 40%
- Dust 2 (3 cards) - 33.3%
- Inferno (2 cards) - 0%
Conclusion
In this confrontation, Wings Up really looks like the favorite of the duel, despite the fact that their position in the global ranking is worse than that of Evil Geniuses. The team kept in shape throughout August, even though they lost a little less than half of the matches.
In the debut match at ESL Challenger Melbourne 2022, the Chinese team faced a stronger opponent than EG.PA, but managed to take 13 rounds there, while the representatives of EG.PA could not take more than 4 rounds.
EG.PA is unlikely to compete on their strong Vertigo map, since the Chinese will most likely ban it, and on Mirage they will be able to give a good fight, since they played there 9 times and this map they have top 2 in terms of the number of matches played.
These thoughts suggest that you can bet not only on the victory of Wings Up, but also on Handicap -1.5 cards in their favor. Such a step is quite risky, but you can still try, and the coefficient there is 2.62, which is quite tasty. However, I stick to the fact that the best and most profitable option in this case would be a Wings Up bet with odds of 1.50. A good odds and a good pass probability - what else do we need for a good bet?
Final bet: Wings Up to win at odds of 1.50
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