Matchförutsägelse: Team Secret - Team Aster | Dota 2
The International 2022: Group StageThe group stage of The International 2022 is coming to an end in Singapore. 20 teams from all regions are participating in the race for 16 places in the main stage.
Now we are talking about group B, where passions for the top of the playoffs flare up. The main roles are played by Secret and Team Aster, whose head-to-head confrontation we'll talk about now.
Both clubs claim to be highly seeded, because their game shows a serious attitude. However, getting to the top of the grid can be problematic for both, and therefore it is worth scoring points here and now.
We figure out which of the teams will be worthy of hitting the winner and whether this match will receive a winner.
Team Secret uniform
Team Secret will be the favorite for this match. The chance of a European club to win is estimated at a factor of 3.1.
Such figures have become a regularity in the central matches of the last game day. Our case is no exception.
Team Secret looked sluggish throughout the season. After the TOP-3 of The International 10, the team suffered from a series of reshuffles, which affected the results.
In May of this year, the roster was again battered and by the summer the team was completed. There was no talk of a direct ticket to The International 2022, but Puppey did not intend to miss his 11th tournament of the series.
At Last Chance Qualifier Secret they revived and showed class. With varying success, they do this in the group stage of The International.
Team Secret results at The International 2022
- 2-0 victory over Beastcoast
- Draw with Fnatic 1-1
- 2-0 victory over TSM
- Lost to Tundra 0-2
- Draw with Team Spirit 1-1
Quite chaotic games are obtained by Secret, however, it is at the top of the table of its group at the time of writing the forecast, this does not interfere with them. However, the position of the team remains precarious and the result in the match against Entity, which is currently taking place, will be important (the time of writing the forecast is 16:00, 10/17/2022).
Team Secret roster
- crystallis
- Nisha
- Resolut1on
- Zayac
- Puppey
In the course of the same last chance qualifiers and especially the season, questions arose for almost every player. Now Team Secret look well-proportioned as a team and strongly singly.
Team Secret Heroes
In patch 7.32, Secret played their own DotA at premium tournaments. Their most common spawns were Tusk (7 matches, 85% wins), Witch Doctor (5 matches, 80; wins), Monkey King (5 matches, 60% wins), Pangolier (4 matches, 50% wins), Death Prophet (4 matches, 50% win rate).
Team Aster Uniform
As an outsider, Team Aster will approach this match. The chance of a team from China to win is estimated at a coefficient of around 3.6.
For bo2, the indicator is actually equal to what Secret has. In the match we should expect parity.
Before the start of the tournament, it was difficult to predict what Aster would be like. As from a Chinese team, they expected a confident game from Aster and, in principle, they got it.
Remembering the season of giants from China, it is hard to deny the high level of skill of the team. The team consistently occupied the TOP-3 of the home league, and at the only major for teams from China, Aster climbed into the TOP-3, which ensured them a direct hit on The International.
The tournament itself, by the way, is going well for Aster so far. At the time of writing the review, the team occupies the 2nd line in the table with a score of 9-5.
Team Aster results at The International 2022
- 2-0 victory over TSM
- Draw with Entity 1-1
- 2-0 victory over Beastcoast
- Lost to Fnatic 0-2
- Draw with Thunder Awaken 1-1
Aster confidently went through the tournament until the third game day, where the team gave away 3 cards. By the way, they lost against Fnatic and Thunder Awaken, not the most expected opponents.
Team Aster roster
- Monet
- Ori
- xxs
- BoBoKa
- 皮球
I don’t see the point in talking about personalities, because there are faces familiar to all lovers of competitive DotA. Monet, as always, is good, and this Aster is played.
Heroes Team Aster
At The International 2022, the team is not reinventing the wheel. They play wild, picking Mars, Puck, Tiny, Snapfire, Mars, Primal Beast, Marci, Visage.
There is nothing supernatural, except perhaps for playing on “classic” cores like Sven, Luna and Drow Ranger. Monet doesn't play Shadow Fiend and other non-conventional heroes that are strong right now.
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams played each other as part of ESL One Malaysia 2022. In the group stage, they then played a draw, and later Secret lost to their counterparts with a score of 0-2.
Match outcome
I see a draw as the most expected option here. It is very difficult to choose a clear winner, because the teams are very similar.
The only way that conditional Team Secret will win is if Aster plays the way they played on the third game day. I believe in it with difficulty, and therefore I will bet on a draw.
Outcome: draw.
In the RNG - PSG.LGD match, 1 map from RNG did not reach due to Somnus's poor health, we are trying to understand something in the game between Team Secret and Team Aster.
Both teams have the same statistics before today's game day, all indicators are similar: 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. Both Aster and Secret share the 2nd place in the group, almost both teams guaranteed themselves the upper bracket of the playoffs, but if you stumble a couple of times, you can lose everything.
By the way, Aster has a match with Spirit, and Secret with Talon. This means that Aster's victory is needed a little more, since Secret will be able to guarantee themselves the upper bracket after defeating Talon, but if the Chinese lose Secret, then the game with Spirit, who are on the 5th line and very close to the 4th slot in the upper bracket of the play- off.
The shape of the teams is such that Aster worsened their situation a little after the failure with fnatic and 1:1 with Thunder Awaken. Team Secret stumbled with Tundra Esports at the very beginning, which are now the top 1 of the group.
Team Secret's path to TI11:
- Draw with Thunder Awaken (group top 4)
- Victory with beastcoast (top 7)
- Draw with fnatic (top 5)
- Victory with TSM (top 9)
- Defeat with Tundra Esports (top 1)
- Draw with Team Spirit (top 5)
- Win with Entity (top 7)
Team Aster's path at TI11:
- Draw with Tundra (top 1)
- Victory over Talon (top 9)
- Victory over TSM (top 9)
- Draw with Entity (top 7)
- Victory over beastcoast (top 7)
- Lost to fnatic (top 5)
- Draw with Thunder Awaken (top 4)
It can be seen even from the results that Aster beat only the outsiders of the group, but with others it is already more difficult, with conditional Entity and fnatic.
Cool Aster play with Drow Ranger; with Primal Beast, only when Ori is on him in the mid lane, however, the Chinese sometimes try to hide him from a bad game, because they take him in the first stage, you have to swap him for 3-4 and in this situation Aster has never did not win, did this three times. Can't win with Lone Druid, mid Shadow Fiend, Silencer at 5 and Primal Beast at 4 as I explained above.
Analytics and bets on Dota 2 for TI11 in Telegram: t.me/flzbets
Team Secret has its own issues too, it's Morphling by Crystallis, however Morph by Nisha is pulling matches. Team Secret had very good drafts, it was very important for them to defeat Entity 2:0, to which they always lost without a chance throughout the season, in particular, K/D/A Crystallis in those games was outrageous and just for morality of the team. Shadow Fiend/Primal Beast are often banned against Secret in the first stage, in the second they are already afraid for Sniper from Nisha and Monkey King from Crystallis.
Against Team Aster, I wouldn't recommend giving up Broodmother; Drow Ranger and something to think about with Puck/Leshrac. You should not be afraid of Primal Beast, the Chinese will 100% ban him, the main battle for Marci in the first stage.
A draw looks logical here, but I will try to get myself a good win rate for the rest of the matches in the group, so the belief that Secret will not lose to Aster.
Prediction: Secret will take 1 card from Aster; if you risk, the victory of the Secret in the series for 3.1. But it's better in LIVE, there pre-match 1.8 - 1.9 on a specific map, it's worth waiting for 100% drafts
Bookmakers & Statistics
Enligt ledande bookmakers förutsägelser är laget Team Secret favoriten med genomsnittliga odds 2.628 för tillfället. Bookmakers anser att Team Aster är matchens outsider med odds på en seger på summan av cirka 5.857.
Hur presterade deltagarna de senaste matcherna
Senaste matcherna | Team Secret | Team Aster |
5 matcher (vinster) | 3 | 3 |
10 matcher (vinster) | 7 | 6 |
Statistiken över personliga strider mellan lag är också viktig för framgångsrika spel. Lagen spelade 3 matcher med varandra tidigare. I dessa matcher vann Team Secret 0 gånger, Team Aster aktiva sammansättningar av 1 vinster.