Matchförutsägelse: PSG.LGD - Team Aster | Dota 2

We've reached the peak of the first DPC tour in China, and indeed. It was the honor of the top Chinese clubs to close the DotA holiday called DPC 2023: Winter Tour.

Toward the end of the winter DPC, let's watch the confrontation between PSD.LGD and Team Aster. The match promises to be hot, although it does not solve anything.

Team Aster will enter the fight with a 6-0 statistic in the standings. They are in first place and 12-2 in maps, and a victory in this duel guarantees them absolute dominance in the DPC, which, in general, gives additional DPC points.

PSG.LGD has the second place in the standings, a ticket to the Lima Major and 5-1 in map statistics. In case of victory, the team will secure 6-1 and, in theory, will claim a clear second place.

We figure out which of the top teams will close the season with a fundamental victory, and who will have to put up with defeat.

Team Aster Uniform

We begin the review of the match with the team closest to the TOP-1. Team Aster will play as a favorite in this match.

The bookmaker estimates Aster's chance of winning with odds around 1.6. One of the highest figures for Monet and the company this year.

It is easy to believe in the superiority of Aster. It is enough just to look at the standings, and it becomes clear for what merits they are rated above their counterparts.

Composition

Digging a little deeper, we can come to the conclusion that the composition of the teams also played a role in the state of affairs in the standings. Aster's changes were smooth, unlike their counterparts PSG.LGD.

Team Aster players

  • Monet
  • xwy
  • xxs
  • BoBoKa
  • Siamese.C

Speaking specifically, about each player, we immediately single out BoBoKa. The legendary Chinese four play like in the best years, and this is a terrible force.

Looks pretty good Xwy. The burden fell on his shoulders to replace the retired Ori, and this is not an easy task, but the young mid player is still coping.

Team Aster Performance

Aster started the season with a victory at the Intel WOrld Open Beijing, after which they immediately rushed into the cycle of DPC DotA. In the first round of the DPC 2021/2022, Team Aster took 2nd place in the regular league, and then finished in 3rd place in the regional finals, held instead of the first major of the season.

Then Aster played OGA Dota PIT China, where they also took 3rd place and started playing in the second round of the DPC. The final picture has not changed: Aster is third again, but this time they reached the TOP-2 at the regional finals.

Later, the most stable team in China plays the third round and again gets into the TOP-3, in third place, of course. The only Major of the season, the PGL Arlington Major, ends for the club in 3rd place.

Before the main events of last season, Team Aster play at ESL One Malaysia 2022, where they reach the grand final, but lose to OG with a score of 0-3.

At The International 2022, the team confirmed the status of the most stable team in the region, reaching the TOP-4, leaving behind PSG.LGD and other equally famous clubs along the way.

Aster's first opponent in the new season was the Knights. A vigorous Chinese-Malaysian team brought problems to Aster, but BoBoKa on Keeper of The Light helped Aster to secure the first victory.

Later, they lost to Xtreme with a similar score. Next, Aster started a simple chart.

In turn, the team outplayed Aries, DAWN and EHOME. All with a score of 2-0 and without any problems (except that the Aries fought, causing trouble).

Before the match with PSG.LGD, the team played with Invictus Gaming. The latter badly needed a win, but Aster didn't care. As a result, the latter took out IG with a score of 2-0, crushing their hopes for possible replays for a slot in Lima.

Heroes Aster

In patch 7.32, Aster didn't invent the wheel: they played as far as possible, which brought results. Of the three most chosen among which are Marci, Mars, Tiny, the first two have won 6 out of 10 matches each, but Tiny has won only four fights.

Like all teams, before the letter patch, they played on Puck (9 matches, 55% wins), Leshrac (8 matches, 75% wins), Snapfire (8 matches, 62% wins).

Form PSG.LGD

We continue the review with an analysis of the game form of PSG.LGD at the end of the season. They are here in the status of an outsider.

In this match, the bookmaker estimates their chance of winning with odds around 2.3. A small gap, but sufficient.

And there is no need to argue with this. PSG.LGD play exactly how they are evaluated.

PSG.LGD roster

I would say that the current state of affairs for the legendary club is better than expected before the start of the event. There were many doubts about the viability of the new roster, and especially when compared with the golden composition of PSG.LGD of The International 2021 sample.

PSG.LGD Players

  • shiro
  • NothingToSay
  • 项羽
  • planet
  • y`

It is worth paying tribute to the non-replaceable coach of the club xiao8. The cult Chinese dotter managed to glue the roster after the loss of the main headliners of the past years.

Performance of PSG.LGD

So far, PSG.LGD have been playing frankly weak opponents. DAWN and Aster.Aries, with all due respect, players of the PSG.LGD club level can be replayed in easy. Let's see how it will be against the more "venerable" representatives of the Chinese region.

Having entered The International 2022 directly, PSG.LGD acted as one of the main contenders for victory, but in the end they were not even the first team in China. The wards of xiao8 finished the tournament in the TOP-6, after which major changes began in the roster.

As part of the first match of DPC 2023, the team played against DAWN. LGD beat their opponents without a single chance, giving them 7 kills in two maps.

The second match against Aster.Aries followed a similar scenario, with the difference only in the number of kills and the total time for two maps. Aries were able to get 24 kills while playing as a substitute. At least something, but the result is 2-0 in favor of PSG.LGD.

The third game against the Knights was a lump in the throat for PSG.LGD. The legendary tag lost with a score of 0-2, but not everything is clear with the opponent: Perfect World accused the “knights” of cheating, but so far the matter is at a standstill.

The match against EHOME and against Invictus Gaming brought problems for PSG.LGD. The team played twice with a score of 2-1.

Before Aster, PSG.LGD met with Xtreme Gaming. The victory against the principal rival brought the xiao8 team a ticket to Lima Major 2023 and aggravated the position of Paparazzi and the company.

Heroes PSG.LGD

PSG.LGD valued Primal Beast (6 games, 66% win rate), Tiny (6 matches, 50% win rate), Leshrac (6 matches, 50% win rate), Enigma (5 matches, 60% win rate). They love Alchemist, bringing him into the meta: 2 games, 100% win rate.

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams did not play each other in the updated rosters. The fight within the last round of the Chinese DPC 2023 will be the first experience of face-to-face meetings.

Match outcome

It may seem that the fight does not decide anything, since both teams are guaranteed tickets to Lima Major 2023, but this is not entirely true. Still, a few DPC points may come into play in the future, so I'm looking forward to a roughly equal fight.

The most obvious outcome I see is a fully-fledged bo3 with an advantage in the direction of Aster. This will be my bet.

Result: total +2.5.

Team Aster is the 5th team in the world ranking. At TI it turned out to show a very good result, taking 4th place. Ori ended his career and had to look for a replacement. They took XWY from Phoenix Gaming. This roster at the DPC in their region won all the games. Only Knights and Xtreme Gaming could resist them. This is their last match.

PSG.LGD - 1st team in Chinese ranking. It is not entirely clear yet how much the change in the roster changed the situation for the team, but within the framework of the first DPC out of 5 matches, the guys lost only 1, and even that one against the team that was accused of cheating. Initially, Dawn Gaming and Aster.Aries won without problems 2:0. Then they are defeated 0:2 by Team Knights. Well, after that, in a strong fight, EHOME, Invictus Gaming and Xtreme Gaming outplayed 2:1.

Based on the matches played on DPC Aster, they look stronger. Very rarely there were moments where they had any drawdowns. The coaches of the team clearly did a good job. LGD played well too, but it is clear that the roster needs time to understand each other's game. Both teams qualify for the Major, but from what I've seen, for the sake of a better position in the table and additional DPC points, the teams will give all their best. Based on all this, I see Team Aster as the winner in this series.

I'm a bettor, I live only by this. I devote all my time to this. There are no more interests.

I have been running my business for quite a long time and have achieved some success in this. Believe me or not - everyone's business. But why not try? Maybe you like this life too!

Team Aster win!

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Enligt ledande bookmakers förutsägelser är laget Team Aster favoriten med genomsnittliga odds 1.657 för tillfället. Bookmakers anser att PSG.LGD är matchens outsider med odds på en seger på summan av cirka 3.031.

Vilka är framgångarna för lagen i de senaste matcherna

Senaste matcherna PSG.LGD Team Aster
5 matcher (vinster) 2 2
10 matcher (vinster) 6 3

Statistiken över personliga strider mellan lag är också viktig för framgångsrika spel. Lagen spelade 38 matcher med varandra tidigare. I dessa strider fick PSG.LGD 23 segrar medan Team Aster lyckades ta 14 matcher.