Prediction for the fight between Army Geniuses and Lilgun in the lower qualifying bracket for The International 11 (Southeast Asia). Lilgun clearly lost to Talon Esports yesterday, although I thought that they were quite capable of clinging to the map, but, as it turned out, they were not. We have not yet seen Army Geniuses in action. There is definitely more pressure on Lilgun.
The top 3 team of the second division DPC SEA against the top 1-2 team represented by Lilgun. Army Geniuses ended the season with 5 wins and 2 losses; 11 maps won and 6 lost. Lilgun with 6 wins and 1 loss; 12 cards won and 4 lost.
Lineup of Army Geniuses
- db-
- Azur4
- womy
- NARMAN
- Varizh
Composition of Lilgun
- 423
- sanctity-
- eleven
- knishka
- Ace12
Army Geniuses latest results - 5 matches counted
- Lost in a match with Polaris with a score of 0: 1 - August 19
- Lost in a match with BOOM Esports with a score of 0:2
- Lost in a match with Talon Esports with a score of 0:1
- Lost in a match with Mars with a score of 0:2
- Lost in a match with XERXIA with a score of 1:2
Latest Lilgun results - 5 matches counted
- Lost in a match with Talon Esports with a score of 0:2 - qualification for The International 11
- Victory in the match with KOBOLDS with a score of 3: 1 - September 10
- Victory in the match with Team Renewal with a score of 2:0
- Lost in a match with Yangon Galacticos with a score of 0:2
- Winning the match with LBZS with a score of 2:0
In head-to-head meetings, Lilgun won 80% of the games, they have 6 wins - 1 draw and 1 loss in 8 matches. The final duel took place on July 6, when Army Geniuses took 1 card.
By the way, I looked at the last match between these teams, in all three maps there were incredible coups, for example, on the decisive third, they camebacked by 13-15 thousand, then went into plus 4-5, but still managed to lose with Terrorblade in Templar Assassin and bloodseeker. In general, I expect an incredibly cool 3 maps, Army Geniuses will definitely hook on 1 map. They also had the advantage of watching the Talon Esports game, I definitely don’t believe in 2:0 from Lilgun.
It's too early to draw conclusions on Lilgun as they lost to the really strong Talon Esports, Army Geniuses is a dark horse. Subjectively, I would like Army Geniuses to go further.
Lilgun heroes used in The International 11 qualifiers:
- 423: Sniper/Visage
- sanctity-: Ember Spirit/Templar Assassin
- eleven: Beastmaster/Enigma
- knishka: Skywrath Mage
- Ace12: Undying/Marci
Broodmother/Lycan is eliminated against Lilgun in the first stage, this is the only team that Brood's bans respect; Talon was eliminated twice more by Slark and Faceless Void. I hope Army Geniuses will also appreciate the preparation of Talon and follow it.
- Lilgun win - odds 1.42
- Army Geniuses win - odds 2.955
- TB 2.5 on cards - coefficient 2.06
- TM 2.5 on cards - coefficient 1.71
I completely disagree with such quotes, Army Geniuses should definitely impose a competitive game, I expect 3 games, maybe AG will even win, it's hard to believe with 2:0 from Lilgun.
Forecast: Army Geniuses will take 1 card from Lilgun - coefficient 1.61; with TB risk 2.5 on cards - coefficient 2.06
