Matchförutsägelse: OG - Tundra Esports | Dota 2

It is noisy in the vastness of Western European pillboxes. The first round of DPC 2022/2023 starts: WEU Division 1.

OG and Tundra Esports will open the title league. It's hard to find a better seed match, but frankly, it's possible.

There is enough skepticism about the fight and almost all of it revolves around one team. This is the OG team.

Of course, to call the top European team a weak language will not turn. But whether he will be strong in the coming season is another question.

OG changed their headliner to a more faded character. Whether this replacement will benefit, and whether they have been adapted - that's what's interesting.

The first opponent to “warm up” will be Tundra Esports. It is difficult to imagine a more formidable counterpart, and therefore we are waiting for a serious test for the updated OG.

Let's figure out who will be stronger in the opening confrontation of the year and will start the new season with a pleasant victory.

Tundra Esports Uniform

Let's start the review of the match with the Tundra Esports kit. In this duel, they will appear in the status of a favorite.

The bookmakers estimate the chances of Tundra Esports with odds around 1.4. I fully agree with their assessment, because there could not be another meaning near the tag.

Tundra Esports enter the season as the reigning world champions. They enter the season in an absolutely identical, and as we saw in practice The Internatiolna 2022 working roster.

Tundra Esports roster

Changing the champion line-up sounds quite irrational. Tundra Esports were of the same opinion, and therefore kept the entire top five, without exception.

• skiter
• Nine
• 33
• Saksa
• sneyking

Not only the top five left, directly raising Aegis, but also the roster coach - Aui_2000. However, keeping the roster does not mean maintaining the same level of play that we saw in The International.

After all, enough time has passed since the main tournament of the year, and several major balance changes have been made in Dota 2. Knowing the Tundra players, they have already studied all the changes inside and out, but you can leave the possibility of insufficient preparation or laziness.

Tundra Esports performance

Tundra Esports got to The International 2022 from the 9th place in the DPC table. All thanks to a landmark performance during the season.

The team took the TOP-3 at the DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 1: Division 1, after which they entered only the TOP-4 at the regional finals without earning DPC points.

The second round in the regional league did not start much better: Tundra took 4th place in the home league, which did not bring much DPC points, but gave something much more important - a ticket to ESL One Stockholm.

At the first real Major of the year, Tundra Esports took third place..

Inspired by getting into the TOP-3 at ESL One Stockholm, Tundra approached the third round of the DPC with renewed vigor, where, unlike the previous ones, they shone. The first place in the regional league of Western Europe allowed the Saksa team to advance to the second Major of the year.

It seemed that the best team in Western Europe should prove themselves in the international arena, especially since Tundra have already made themselves known in Stockholm, what can go wrong in Arlington, where the PGL Arlington Major was held? Well, things went wrong.

The team took TOP-16 at the second major tournament, which, after TOP-8 at the commercial Riyadh Master, seriously reduced faith in the club at the upcoming The International.

The International 2022 itself turned out to be phenomenally easy for Tundra Esports. Having given away only a few cards during the event, the team made it to the grand final, where they finished Team Secret with a score of 3-0 without much difficulty.

Before the start of DPC 2022/2022: WEU Upper Division - Winter Tour, the team took a well-deserved vacation.

Heroes Tundra Esports

Tundra Esports played in their repertoire, forming their own chiropool and not really interested in what was happening around. In the most chosen - Crystal Maiden. The character appeared in 10 matches, winning 9 of them.

Picking Naga Siren (5 matches, 100% win rate), Visage (5 matches, 80% win rate), Visage (5 matches, 80% win rate), Hoodwink (4 matches, 100% win rate), Doom (4 matches, 100% win rate)).

Perhaps things will change with the release of letter patches, but what will remain unchanged is the presence of “creativity” in the hero pool and strategies.

Form OG

Let's continue the review of the match by looking at the form of OG. They will act as outsiders in this composition.

The bookmaker estimates OG's chance of winning with odds around 2.4. Such a figure looks even acceptable, to be honest.

When forming quotes, we took into account the fact that OG played last season and performed at the last TI. What one thing, what another, can be called acceptable and even more - good, given the age of the team. However, Tundra were also not the most played five, but at The International they did not know their equals.

Roster OG

Unlike Tundra Esports, OG have resorted to targeted changes this season, but in the case of OG, the replacement of a single player can be critical. The European team said goodbye to their headliner - ATF.

• Yuragi
• bzm
• DM
• Taiga
• Misha

The move from DM to OG should solve several roster problems at once. The OG of the ATF roster were chained to the young hardliner and limited in strategies.

ATF played too greedily, pulling the covers under him. Together with DM, OG wants to get a more “sacrificial” version of the hardliner, capable of giving more than taking. In theory, it should work, but only in theory. It is not clear how quickly Yuragi and bzm will be able to reformat from “support players” to full-fledged taschers.

OG Performance

Last season, the surviving backbone of OG managed to prove itself both in the regional league and beyond. OG took TOP-4 at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 1: Division 1, 3rd at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 1: Regional Final.

In the second round, Misha's team won the DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 2: Division 1, after which they played at ESL One Stockholm, the first major of OG's new look.

In Sweden, the young generation of the club of the two-time world champion showed the pinnacle of playing skills, taking the TOP-1. After that, the performance dropped a little.

The team took TOP-3 at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 3: DIvision 1, Riyadh Masters 2022, 4th place at PGL Arlington Major 2022 season 2, and then won ESL One Malaysia.

OG went to The International 2022 as the first team in Europe, but they turned out to be almost the last. The team reached the TOP-8, which is a good result, but obviously not on the Tundra level.

Heroes OG

Most played characters: Oracle (8 matches, 62% wins), Razor (6 matches, 50% wins), Timbersaw (5 matches, 40% wins), Snapfire (4 matches, 50% wins), Jakiro (3 matches), 100% wins).

With the transition to the DM, we should expect more team characters. I won't be surprised to see an abundance of conditional Tidehunters, Magnus and other utility heroes in the spades.

History of personal meetings

Previously, the teams crossed paths with each other, but given the changes in the composition of OG, it is difficult to call the results of past meetings representative.

Match outcome

In the opening match, I want to see bright DotA performed by both sides. There are prerequisites for this, but intuition suggests a 2-0. OG will do their best, I'm sure of that, but Tundra shouldn't sit idly by, it's not their style.

In general, I expect Tundra to win. I won't risk a 2-0 pre-match.

Outcome: victory for Tundra Esports.