We are approaching the last match of the first round of the LEC Winter 2023 group stage. It will be closed by G2 Esports and BDS from quartet B.
G2 Esports made it to the group stage thanks to a solid performance during the regular season. The team took 4th place, playing with a score of 6-3.
BDS is not far from G2 Esports in terms of performance. The team was only 1 position behind in the regular stage, finishing with a score of 5-4.
Let's figure out who will be stronger in this match and earn the first victory in the group stage of the LEC Winter 2023 group stage.
G2 Esports Uniform
Let's start the review of the match with an analysis of the game form of G2 Esports. They are predicted to be the favorite in this match.
The chances of G2 Esports winning this are estimated at around 1.2. Such a figure for bo3 hints at a deplorable outcome for the rivals of the “samurai”.
G2 Esports earned themselves the status of a favorite thanks to a fairly confident performance in the first half of the regular season. In addition, the tag itself is endearing, with a long history behind it and high performance in the home arena, which is conducive to them.
G2 Esports roster
Another factor that plays in favor of G2 Esports is their roster. He underwent changes during the off-season, but there were no cardinal changes in performance after that.
G2 Esports Players
- Brokenblade
- Yike
- Caps
- Hans-sama
- Mikyx
In general, the composition is more than combat. It is impossible to call the team inexperienced, since some performers have been on the competitive scene for a long time and there is no doubt about their ability to act. However, in some places G2 Esports are slowing down, and this is noticeable in their performance.
G2 Esports Performance
The first week of G2 started as a reference. The team debuted with 3 confident victories, among which was a victory over a principal rival:
- Victory over EXCEL with a score of 1-0
- 1-0 victory over Fnatic
- 1-0 victory over Astralis
By principled victory, we mean a win against Fnatic. That match ended in the first minutes when Hans Sama made a triple kill with his Draven in the jungle on the bottom lane.
The second week was much darker. G2 won 1 match out of 3, and lost to a very implicit competitor:
- Lost to SK Gaming 0-1
- 1-0 victory over Team Heretics
- Lost to Vitality 0-1
The central match was the confrontation with Vitality. The elite derby ended with a crushing victory for Vitality and gave the latter a pass to the next stage.
The third week of G2 Esports finished well. The team won 2 matches out of 3:
- 1-0 victory over BDS
- Victory over KOI with a score of 1-0
- Lost to MAD Lions 0-1
Only MAD Lions lost. It seems to be nothing terrible, but this is a direct competitor of G2 Esports in the group and potentially the next rival of Hans sama and the company, so you need to reconsider your approach to the match.
G2 Esports Champions
In the top lane, G2 Esports is dominated by Jax. The character appeared 3 times and won all matches. In addition, we picked KSante twice (0-2) and picked Karm, which we are used to seeing on support. By the way, she won her match.
In the forest, preference was given to Graves (2 games, 50% of wins). Viego, Kindred, Belveth and Udyr were taken once each: all of them won except Udyr.
The mid lane is also not very standard. Akali (2 matches, 50% win rate), Viktor, Zac, Twisted Fate, Ryze by game and all but Ryze by win.
From the shooters, they took Draven (100% win rate) and Varus (50% win rate) 2 times. Ashe and Lucian appeared (Ashe has a 100% win rate, Lucian lost).
Support more often than other Nautilus (2 matches, 100% wins). Heimerdinger, Ashe, Lulu and Nami were played: the first two won, the rest did not.
Form BDS
On the other side of the barricades will be BDS. The French club will break into the match in the status of an outsider.
As before, bookies do not trust BDS. Bo3 is even bigger than before: the team's chance of winning is estimated at around 4.2.
As before, because BDS just recently played against G2 Esports. Then the French were in the status of an outsider and not in vain - they lost, and without much chance.
Composition BDS
BDS approached the new season with a focus on roster development. I don’t think that the team will fall apart in case of defeat, because now the main thing for them is to play and gain experience.
BDS players
- Adam
- Sheo
- NUCLEARINT
- crownshot
- Labrov
I can't single out anyone. The team performs with one fist, and therefore everything is approximately on the same level, as evidenced by the performance indicators of individual performers: they all have above 50 points, and the duo bot is completely equal: 72 for Crownshot and 70 for Labrov.
BDS Performance
Team BDS have 4-2 statistics before the start of the new week of LEC Winter 2023. The team is tied for 2nd place in the race.
The first week of the winter LEC raised questions about the viability of the renewed Team BDS roster. The team finished it with a score of 1-2, losing to passable opponents:
- Lost by KOI 0-1
- 1-0 victory over SK Gaming
- Lost to EXCEL 1-0
Later, the situation was smoothed out. On the second week, BDS leveled off and closed all their matches with a victory, and against serious opponents:
- 1-0 victory over Fnatic
- 1-0 victory over Astralis
- Defeated MAD Lions 1-0
Such a streak can cause a feeling of euphoria in the team. To some extent, this happened, but the factor of the level of teams in the third week also plays here:
- Lost to G2 Esports with a score of 0-1
- Lost to Vitality with a score of 0-1
- 1-0 victory over Team Heretics
G2 Esports and Vitality got a snack. The first match is especially interesting, since now we are waiting for a revenge, but getting it is not an easy task: in the last game, BDS looked too faded against the background of their title rivals.
Team BDS Champions
Unpopular characters on the LEC appear in the top of the BDS. Olaf (50% wins), Darius (50% wins) and Aatrox (win) and Jax (win) were selected twice each.
Two appearances each for the junglers Sejuani (50% wins), Wukong (100% wins). 1 game each for Vi (0% wins), Maokai (100% wins).
In the mid lane, Azir (50% wins), Akali (50% wins) and Sylas (50% wins) have 2 spawns each. One more time NUCLEARINT played for Viktor (win).
The most picked shooter is Jhin (3 games, 66% win rate), followed by Caitlyn (50% win rate at 2 games) and Varus (1 match, 1 win).
Heimerdinger appeared most often on supports (3 matches, 66% of wins). Thresh, Lux and Tahm Kench appeared once each with Thresh and Tahm Kench winning but Lux losing.
History of personal confrontations
G2 Esports played against BDS in the last week of the first stage. Then a confident victory with a two-fold advantage in the number of murders was obtained by the “samurai”.
Match outcome
After a “trial” game within the framework of the regular season, there is no question of identifying the winner of the match. G2 Esports is stronger and that's a fact.
Another thing is whether BDS are able to fight. I believe that yes, and they may well pick up one card, which I will bet on.
Result: +1.5 on BDS.
