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The group stage of LoL World Championship 2024 is heating up. We've talked about the 1-0 basket matches and now it's time for the 0-1 teams.
Among these teams are T1 and paiN Gaming. And there is no need to be surprised by such a pair, because the Swiss system disposes to such "incidents".
Let's try to understand whether paiN Gaming has even the slightest chance to clinch a win in this match or everything will end as it should.
Let's go.
Form T1
Let's open the match analysis with an analysis of T1's form. In this match they will play as clear favourites with odds to win at around 1.1.
T1 won LCK Spring 2022 and then three consecutive top 2s: MSI, LCK Summer and Worlds 2022.
The curse of top-2s carried over to the 2023 season as well. At the Long Run of the Year, Faker and company took 2nd place at LCK Spring 2023, and then finished third at MSI 2023.
- T1 line-up: Zeus, Oner, Faker, Gumayusi, Keria.
LCK Summer 2023 was a real challenge for T1. The team made it to the play-offs, but did it with difficulty, taking 5th place in the group stage with the score 9-9.
There were problems for the main protagonist - Faker. The legendary mid laner injured his hand and it obviously affected the overall playing conditions of T1. But now Faker is kind of back on track.
The Faker factor has played out. T1 defeated a serious opponent in the person of Dplus and made their way to the next round, where their opponent will be KT Rolster. The latter, by the way, chose T1 as their opponent.
Next up was no less capable opponent than Dplus. Faker and company played against KT Rolster and won that match with a score of 3-2.
The opponent in the match for the play-offs for T1 was Gen.G. The first tried, and even started the game with the score 2-1, but it didn't work out: Gen.G camebacked, and Chovy was better than Faker.
In the grand final match T1 almost lost to KT Rolster after an excellent Long Sogpeg 2-0. They were saved by Gumayusi, who pulled it off on the 5th map with his Xayah.
However, it didn't allow them to win the final. T1 faced their nemesis Gen.G, where they crushingly lost 0-3.
T1 opened Worlds 2023 with a game against Liquid. Being the clear favourite of the series they closed the match against Liquid in their favour, but it was not an easy win: Liquid held on for 36 minutes and Ledge only 1 kill. Everything was decided in the final midlane brawl, after which T1 closed the series.
In a 1-0 basket, T1 ran into their own kryptonite - Gen.G. Faker and company started great, but the first LCK team was the first to adjust the pace of the game to their own and eventually win the match.
Next up, T1 faced Cloud9. Perhaps, it was the most defeated match of all that I had the chance to watch on this Worlds. Naturally, it ended in T1's favour.
After trampling Cloud9 T1 started to beat Bilibili Gaming, and they succeeded. T1 easily defeated the vice-champions MSI 2023 with the score 2-0.
In the play-offs, T1 played against LNG. Scout, who was not unreasonably named the best player of Worlds 2023, was like that until the 5th of November: T1 wiped out LNG, closing the series with a score of 3-0.
In the semi-finals of Worlds 2023, T1 faced perhaps the top contender to win the championship, JD Gaming. As formidable as the Chinese were, they were unable to outplay the experienced T1. As a result, Faker and company won the match with a score of 3-1 and T1 for the sixth (!) time made it to the grand finals of the most important League of Legends tournament. And then won it for the 4th time, which is an absolute record in competitive League of Legends and in esports in general.
After an excellent Long Cоrnеg regular season, LCK Spring 2024 T1s slipped a bit in the regular season, finishing 15-3 and in third place. T1 started the championship playoffs with a match against Hanwha Life Esports and surprisingly for me, they blew the game wide open, losing it 0-3. In the lower play-offs T1 played against DPlus KIA and beat them 3-0. Next, they defeated their HLE opponents 3-1, thus becoming the second and last Korean team at MSI 2024.
T1 made it to the Mid-Season Invitational 2024 after finishing in the top 2 at LCK Spring 2024. At the MSI 2024 MSI Play-In, T1 easily took the two series 2-0 and advanced to the Bracket Stage. They started off the Bracket Stage with a nerve-wracking 3-2 win over G2 Esports. In the match to advance to the top 3 T1 faced BLG and lost rather toothlessly with a 1-3 score. Next up was a match against Liquid, where T1 won 3-1. After that they played against G2 Esports in a rematch of the first round of MSI 2024 and again they won, but this time cleanly - 3-0 in favour of T1. But in the next match T1 could not win: BLG outplayed T1 with the score 3-1.
To play at Esports World Cup 2024, T1 interrupted their performance at LCK Summer 2024, where they had a 5-1 record.
In between LCK Summer 2024 matches, T1 tasted Riyadh, where they became the champions of Esports World Cup 2024 with a prize money of $1,000,000. They defeated TOP Esports in the grand finals.
T1 entered the LCK Summer 2024 play-offs from the 4th place of the regular season. During LCK Summer 2024, they were 11-7, which is not a good result for a club of T1's level. In the first LCK Summer 2024 play-offs T1 beat KT Rolster 3-1, but then ran into HLE and Ledgeili 0-3. Later they outplayed DPlus KIA, but then they repeated the match with HLE and again lost 1-3 and as a result LCK Summer 2024 top 3.
At Worlds 2024 T1 made it to the LCK Regional Finals, where they defeated KT Rolster by a narrow 3-2 margin in the match to qualify for the World Championship.
At Worlds 2024, T1 made their debut with a loss over Top Esports in a close match.
The most popular T1 champions
Fiora (5 games, 60% wins) was the most often sent to the top line. There was also Jax (3 matches, 100% wins), Camile (2 matches, 100% wins), Irelia (2 matches, 100% wins).
In the forest Maokai (7 matches, 85% wins), Sejuani (4 games, 75% wins), Viego (2 matches, 100% wins).
The centre line was occupied by Azir (5 matches, 80% wins), Sylas (3 games, 66% wins), Kassadin (2 matches, 100% wins), Ryze (2 games, 50% wins).
Shooters: Varus (4 games, 50% wins), Lucian (4 games, 100% wins).
Supports: Nami (3 games, 100% wins), Ashe (3 games, 0 wins), Varus (2 games, 100% wins), Miss Fortune (2 matches, 100% wins).
Form of paiN Gaming
We continue the analysis of the match paiN Gaming - T1 with the analysis of paiN Gaming form. In this match they are playing as the number two with odds to win around 6.
paiN Gaming is an experienced team, which is not the first year playing in Brazil. They have been on the professional scene since 2012, which some representatives of top regions like LPL, LCK or LEC cannot boast. However, the performance has almost always been very questionable.
The first time the team made it to the Worlds in 2015 and finished in the top 13, failing to make it out of the group stage. Then there were futile attempts to become the best team in Brazil, but always fell just short. On average, they finished in the top 3, often reaching the final.
A string of bad luck was overcome in 2021 with a passage to the MSI. However, the club finished in the top 9, which is hard to call a good result.
- The composition of paiN Gaming: Wizer, Cariok, dyNquedo, TitaN, Kuri.
The 2024 season was a turning point in the history of paiN. First the team took the top 2 at CBLOL Split 1, Ledgeiv in the grand final LOUD with 2-3, but in the summer split, i.e. CBLOL Split 2, the club snatched victory from Keyd Stars, thus becoming the best team in Brazil and going to Worlds 2024.
On the Swiss Stage, paiN qualified for the Swiss Stage thanks to a successful Play-In. For this they had to beat Vikings Esports and Rainbow7 in the lower grid. There they debuted with a defeat over G2 Esports.
Champions paiN Gaming
KSante (6 matches, 33% wins), Gwen (5 games, 0% wins), Jax (2 matches, 100% wins) are taken to the top more often than others.
Jungle takes Vi (3 matches, 0% wins), Maokai (2 matches, 100% wins), Lee Sin (1 match, 0% wins), Wukong (1 match, 0% wins).
The centre line is occupied by Kassadin (3 matches, 100% wins), Akali (2 matches, 0% wins), Syndra (2 games, 50% wins).
On the shooters are Zeri (5 games, 40% wins), Sivir (3 games, 33% wins), Lucian (2 matches, 50% wins).
Peaking Zeri and Sivir, without fail Yuumi is also selected. Magical Cat has appeared in spades 8 times and has a 37% win rate.
History of head-to-head meetings paiN - T1
Previously, the teams have not played each other in official meetings.
Predicted result of T1 - paiN Gaming at LoL World Championship 2024
In this match my bet is on T1. There is no point in explaining anything in detail.
Bottom line: T1 win.